Volume 27, Issue 3 (Iran South Med J 2025)                   Iran South Med J 2025, 27(3): 215-230 | Back to browse issues page


XML Persian Abstract Print


Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:

Omranikhoo H, Raeisi A, Darabi A H, Rezaee M. Estimating the Need for Hospital Beds in Bushehr Province, Focusing on Treatment Poles: a Prospective Study to 2032. Iran South Med J 2025; 27 (3) :215-230
URL: http://ismj.bpums.ac.ir/article-1-2056-en.html
1- Department of Public Health, School of Health, Bushehr University of Medical Sciences, Bushehr, Iran
2- Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
3- The Persian Gulf Tropical Medicine Research Center, The Persian Gulf Biomedical Sciences Research Institute, Bushehr University of Medical Sciences, Bushehr, Iran
4- Student Research Committee, School of Health Management and Information Sciences, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran , m.rezaee8666@yahoo.com
Abstract:   (572 Views)
Background: The success of any organization lies in planning, outlining goals, and charting the path to achieve them. The aim of this study was to develop a treatment roadmap for Bushehr province, with a particular focus on the estimation of required hospital beds using the innovative approach called “treatment poles” up to the year 2032.
Materials and Methods: This is a prospective study that uses basic assumptions, current performance indicators, expert opinions and the geography of the province to separately estimate the required hospital beds within three groups of active, special and outpatient beds for the three geographical regions of the province –the so-called “treatment poles”.  
Results: The results indicate that by 2032, the number of beds and their ratio (beds to population per thousand people) in the province, including active beds, total beds, outpatient beds and special beds, will reach 3520 (2.29), 4483 (2.92), 963 (0.63) and 394 (0.26), respectively. Also, the participation of medical service providers in the province, including public sector (university), non-government public sector (social security), non-academic government sector (oil/armed forces), charity and private sector will be distributed as 65.66, 12.39, 3.92, 6.81 and 10.23 percent, respectively.
Conclusion: The findings indicate that the implementation of this methodology can facilitate a more equitable allocation of medical resources and enhance accessibility to health care services across diverse geographical regions within the province. The findings of this research can assist policymakers in making more informed decisions regarding the development of medical infrastructure in Bushehr province.
Full-Text [PDF 858 kb]   (226 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Original | Subject: Hospitals and Other Health Facilities
Received: 2024/10/14 | Accepted: 2024/11/24 | Published: 2025/01/25

References
1. Tabibi SJ, Heidari S, Nasiri-pour AA & et al. Assessment of Professional and Non-professional Managers’ Performanceamong Selected Hospitals in Tehran. jhosp 2014; 13(2): 45-53. (Persian) [Article]
2. Waterston A, Martin CJ, Schumacher AT & et al. Development planning: lessons of experience: Johns Hopkins Press Baltimore. Recherches économiques de Louvain 1966; 32(2): 119-119. [DOI]
3. Bernard D, Cowan C, Selden T & et al. Reconciling medical expenditure estimates from the MEPS and NHEA, 2007. Medicare Medicaid Res Rev 2012; 2(4): mmrr.002.04.a09. [DOI]
4. Zarrabi A, Shaykh Baygloo R. Classification of Provinces of Iran by Health Indicators. Refahj 2011; 11(42): 107-28. (Persian) [Article]
5. Rezaee M, Shahbazifard M, Darabi Ah & et al. Financial Indicators of Public Autonomous Hospitals: A Case Study in Bushehr Province in 2021. Iran South Med J 2023; 26(2): 114-26. (Persian) [DOI]
6. Ravanipour M, Ostovar A, Darabi H & et al. Challenges of Health System Reform Plan in Bushehr: A Qualitative Study. Iran South Med J 2020; 22(6): 415-31. (Persian) [DOI]
7. Emami Razavi SH. Health system reform plan in Iran: Approaching Universal Health Coverage. Hakim Research Journal 2016; 18(4): 329-35. (Persian) [Article]
8. Mosadeghrad AM, Dehnavi H, Darrudi A. Equity in geographical distribution of hospital beds in Khuzestan Province. EBNESINA 2020; 22(2): 44-55. (Persian) [DOI]
9. Kruk ME, Gage AD, Arsenault C & et al. High-quality health systems in the Sustainable Development Goals era: time for a revolution. Lancet Glob Health 2018; 6(11): e1196-e252. [DOI]
10. Johnson MR, Naik H, Chan WS & et al. Forecasting ward-level bed requirements to aid pandemic resource planning: Lessons learned and future directions. Health Care Manag Sci 2023; 26(3): 477-500. [DOI]
11. Oliveira S, Portela F, Santos MF & et al editors. Predictive Models for Hospital Bed Management Using Data Mining Techniques. New Perspectives in Information Systems and Technologies, Volume 2; Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 276. Springer International Publishing, Cham. 2014. [DOI]
12. Hashemi H, Haghdoost AA, Haji-Aghajani M & et al. A Successful implementation of an idea to a nationally approved plan: Analyzing Iran's National Health Roadmap using the Kingdon model of policymaking. Med J Islam Repub Iran 2018; 32: 46. [DOI]
13. Hajizadeh M, Nghiem HS. Hospital care in Iran: an examination of national health system performance. Inter J Healthcare Manag 2013; 6(3): 201- 10. [DOI]
14. Hadian SA, Rezayatmand R, Shaarbafchizadeh N & et al. Hospital performance evaluation indicators: a scoping review. BMC Health Serv Res 2024; 24(1): 561. [DOI]
15. Habibi A, Sarafrazi A, Izadyar S. Delphi technique theoretical framework in qualitative research. IJES 2014; 3(4): 8-13. [Article]
16. Arak University of Medical Sciences and Health Services. Executive instructions of the hospital emergency department. [Article]
17. Bushehr University of Medical Sciences and Health Services. "Hospital Emergency Department" identifier and standard. [Article]
18. Farmakis D, Porter J, Taher A & et al. 2021 Thalassaemia International Federation Guidelines for the Management of Transfusion-dependent Thalassemia. HemaSphere 2022; 6(8): e732. [DOI]
19. Muncie Jr HL, Campbell J. Alpha and beta thalassemia. Am Fam Physician 2009; 80(4): 339-44. [Article]
20. Davis R, Stuchlik PM, Goodman DC. The relationship between regional growth in neonatal intensive care capacity and perinatal risk. Med Care 2023; 61(11): 729-36. [DOI]
21. Thompson LA, Goodman DC, Little GA. Is more neonatal intensive care always better? Insights from a cross-national comparison of reproductive care. Pediatrics 2002; 109(6): 1036-43. [DOI]
22. Mendsaikhan N, Begzjav T, Lundeg G & et al. A nationwide census of ICU capacity and admissions in Mongolia. PLoS One 2016; 11(8): e0160921. [DOI]
23. Rhodes A, Ferdinande P, Flaatten H & et al. The variability of critical care bed numbers in Europe. Intensive Care Med 2012; 38(10): 1647-53. [DOI]
24. Ediboğlu Ö, Moçin Ö Y, Özyılmaz E & et al. Current Statement of Intensive Care Units in Turkey: Data obtained from 67 Centers. Turk Thorac J 2018; 19(4): 209-15. [DOI]
25. Ohbe H, Sasabuchi Y, Kumazawa R & et al. Intensive care unit occupancy in Japan, 2015–2018: a nationwide inpatient database study. J Epidemiol 2022; 32(12): 535-42. [DOI]
26. Cho NR, Jung WS, Park HY & et al. Discrepancy between the Demand and Supply of Intensive Care Unit Beds in South Korea from 2011 to 2019: A Cross-Sectional Analysis. Yonsei Med J 2021; 62(12): 1098-106. [DOI]
27. Jones RP. A pragmatic method to compare international critical care beds: Implications to pandemic preparedness and non-pandemic planning. Int J Health Plann Manage 2022; 37(4): 2167-82. [DOI]
28. sabermahani a, noorihekmat s, haghdoost a. Feasibility Analysis of 2025 Iran Health Roadmap Implementation. Hakim Research Journal 2019; 22(3): 230-40. (Persian) [Article]
29. Mosadeghrad Am, Janbabaei G, Kalantari B & et al. Equity in distribution of hospital beds in Iran. Sci Journal Kurd Uni Med Sci 2020; 24(6): 12-36. (Persian) [DOI]
30. Chavehpour Y, Rashidian A, Woldemichael A & et al. Inequality in geographical distribution of hospitals and hospital beds in densely populated metropolitan cities of Iran. BMC Health Serv Res 2019; 19(1): 614. [DOI]
31. Hatam N, Zakeri M, Sadeghi A & et al. Equity analysis of hospital beds distribution in Shiraz, Iran 2014. Med J Islam Repub Iran 2016; 30: 393. [Article]
32. Omrani-Khoo H, Lotfi F, Safari H & et al. Equity in Distribution of Health Care Resources; Assessment of Need and Access, Using Three Practical Indicators. Iran J Public Health 2013; 42(11): 1299-308. [Article]
33. Guisan M-C. Health Resources and Scores in European Countries, 1996-2019: Expenditure per capita and Rates of Doctors, Nurses and Beds in France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Switzerland and the UK. Reg Sector Econom Studies 2023; 23(1): 111-30. [Article]
34. Mosadeghrad AM, Dehnavi H, Darrudi A. Equity of hospital bed distribution in Tehran city: brief report. Tehran Univ Med J 2021; 79(2): 156-62. [Article]
35. Mosadeghrad AM, Dehnavi H, Darrudi A. Equity in hospital beds distribution in Zanjan Province, Iran. Payesh 2020; 19(3): 255-266. [DOI]
36. Souqiyyeh MZ, Al-Attar MB, Zakaria H & et al. Dialysis centers in the kingdom of saudi arabia. Saudi J Kidney Dis Transpl 2001; 12(3): 293-304. [Article]
37. Savey A, Simon F, Izopet J & et al. A large nosocomial outbreak of hepatitis C virus infections at a hemodialysis center. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 2005; 26(9): 752-60. [DOI]
38. Alashek WA, McIntyre CW, Taal MW. Provision and quality of dialysis services in L ibya. Hemodial Int 2011; 15(4): 444-52. [DOI]
39. Kadhim KA, Baldawi KH, Lami FH. Prevalence, Incidence, Trend, and Complications of Thalassemia in Iraq. Hemoglobin 2017; 41(3): 164-8. [DOI]
40. Bellis G, Parant A. Beta-thalassemia in Mediterranean countries. Findings and outlook. Investigaciones Geográficas 2021. [DOI]
41. Lee J-S, Rhee T-M, Jeon K & et al. Epidemiologic Trends of Thalassemia, 2006–2018: A Nationwide Population-Based Study. J Clin Med 2022; 11(9): 2289. [DOI]
42. Khaliq S. Thalassemia in Pakistan. Hemoglobin 2022; 46(1): 12-4. [DOI]
43. Ayebale E, Kassebaum N, Roche A & et al. Africa’s critical care capacity before COVID-19. South Afric J Anaesth Analg 2020; 26(3): 162-4. [DOI]
44. Yuan L, Xu S, Xu J, Cao J, Qian Z. Variation in intensive care unit beds capacity in China from 2007 to 2021. Intensive Care Med 2024; 50(3): 472-4. [DOI]
45. Isfahan University of Medical Sciences and Health Services. Instructions related to statistics and statistical indicators. [Article]
46. Ameryoun A, Meskarpour-Amiri M, Dezfuli-Nejad ML & et al. The assessment of inequality on geographical distribution of non-cardiac intensive care beds in iran. Iran J Public Health 2011; 40(2): 25- 33. [Article]
47. Meskarpour-Amiri M, Dopeykar N, Ameryoun A & et al. Assessment inequality in access to public cardiovascular health services in Iran. Med J Islam Repub Iran 2016; 30: 420. [Article]
48. Abdulaziz S, Tantawy TA, Alali RA & et al. Current Status of Adult Post-Cardiac Surgery Critical Care in Saudi Arabia. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2024; 38(11): 2702-11. [DOI]
49. Chen H, Xia Y, Qin Q & et al. Spatial equity and factors associated with intensive care unit bed allocation in China. Arch Public Health 2024; 82(1): 169. [DOI]
50. Hashmi M, Taqi A, Memon MI & et al. A national survey of critical care services in hospitals accredited for training in a lower-middle income country: Pakistan. J Crit Care 2020; 60: 273-8. [DOI]

Send email to the article author


Rights and Permissions
Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

© 2025 CC BY-NC 4.0 | Iranian South Medical Journal

Designed & Developed by: Yektaweb